Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9862309e90619e544cf3a947e5e38169e77cc9b07532f6bcf0ff877f502e8a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 564.5$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.76 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 397.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.6 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 72c | 333.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.41 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f10…9d99backed Yes | 56c | 332.72$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 42c | 331.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.89 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 45c | 264.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 9c | 245.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 58c | 233$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 5c | 231.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 32c | 209.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 55c | 202.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 194.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…fa82backed No | 6c | 193$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed62…c51dbacked No | 38c | 190.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 346 | 28.9%100 W · 246 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 36c | 164$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 38c | 160.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 73c | 151.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 34c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 61c | 142.13$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 39c | 127.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…a2f2backed Yes | 51c | 102.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 102.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 38c | 100.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0493…8d1cbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 41c | 93.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…08dfbacked No | 60c | 82.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 42c | 78.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 42c | 76.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 43c | 73.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 19c | 71.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 54c | 67.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…5566backed Yes | 50c | 66.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7f14backed Yes | 24c | 64.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 220 | 64.5%142 W · 78 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 43c | 62.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…4a4cbacked Yes | 42c | 57.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b2…0653backed Yes | 42c | 56.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 74c | 54.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…68babacked Yes | 53c | 53.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…e093backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e92…ad5bbacked No | 58c | 48.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 47.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 28c | 42.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 52c | 42.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 56c | 40.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c0…22b4backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…844dbacked No | 73c | 38.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 128 | 76.6%98 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796b…92c3backed Yes | 44c | 37.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 50c | 36.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 56c | 35.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 62c | 32.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 171 | 65.5%112 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…8ad6backed Yes | 36c | 29.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 49c | 29.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 29.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 42c | 28.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed Yes | 79c | 26.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…61a7backed Yes | 44c | 23.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffc…594fbacked No | 58c | 23.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 22.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 48c | 21.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 78c | 20.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…d8cdbacked Yes | 50c | 20.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 83°F or below on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.