Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda0b7eded581410f8687b27664d8e6b6453f0bf5243e1293f28f2704b3eb5999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,533 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 50c | 7,447$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.99 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 7,403$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.27 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 2,621$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.55 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 2,212$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.77 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 2,040$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.08 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Yes | 46c | 2,019$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,452$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.67 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,428$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.55 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 19c | 718.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.87 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 13c | 706.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 49c | 654.28$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 6c | 575.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 50c | 555$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 48c | 433.29$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 49c | 398.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 47c | 375$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 358.54$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Yes | 9c | 292.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 275.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 236.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 15c | 230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 212$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.33 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 194.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 163.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 50c | 158.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Yes | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 135.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed No | 52c | 129.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…9da5backed Yes | 48c | 103.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…213bbacked No | 49c | 91.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 24c | 91.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 53c | 88.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 57c | 78.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 74.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 50c | 71.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +95%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 51c | 51.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc733…efe4backed No | 55c | 47.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed No | 74c | 47.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 52c | 45.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 49c | 43.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 55c | 37.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 37.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 45c | 37.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 50c | 36.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed No | 52c | 36.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd51…50e8backed No | 57c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 34.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 51c | 33.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Yes | 38c | 32.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…955bbacked No | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 48c | 23.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 54c | 22.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed No | 51c | 21.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…abbbbacked No | 72c | 20.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…25e4backed No | 64c | 16.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed No | 77c | 15.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked No | 75c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Holstein Kiel win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will VfL Bochum vs. Holstein Kiel end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.