Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda45326d51d8db86d8c416bf9ed92ed531bd8b55681a7dc43f60294f0c441438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof JD Gaming, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked TEC Esports | 1c | 3,610$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TEC Esports | 26c | 3,287$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.15 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TEC Esports | 23c | 1,837$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.42 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed JD Gaming | 66c | 1,269$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.75 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked JD Gaming | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed TEC Esports | 18c | 934.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 221 | 18.1%40 W · 181 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed JD Gaming | 73c | 862.58$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed TEC Esports | 36c | 806$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.28 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TEC Esports | 37c | 599.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked JD Gaming | 63c | 559.61$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked TEC Esports | 43c | 465.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed TEC Esports | 15c | 362$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed JD Gaming | 69c | 289.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked JD Gaming | 80c | 270$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TEC Esports | 25c | 263.51$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked JD Gaming | 80c | 250.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed JD Gaming | 63c | 208.37$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…a5c0backed JD Gaming | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed JD Gaming | 80c | 152$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed TEC Esports | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed TEC Esports | 15c | 133.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TEC Esports | 28c | 118.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed JD Gaming | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…71c1backed TEC Esports | 33c | 91.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed JD Gaming | 80c | 84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed JD Gaming | 78c | 76.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab6…4f45backed JD Gaming | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed JD Gaming | 68c | 58.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed JD Gaming | 60c | 50.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked JD Gaming | 63c | 40.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…7212backed TEC Esports | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…ff61backed TEC Esports | 40c | 35.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked JD Gaming | 63c | 31.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed JD Gaming | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…93aebacked JD Gaming | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed TEC Esports | 39c | 28.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…272ebacked JD Gaming | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked JD Gaming | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked JD Gaming | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3)this page
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerTEC Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.