Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda503f2529ea84a7ffb9e8bf11afa8fd60951ef5500ab7b0fbeeb76a5ec56d83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed Yes | 13c | 2,737$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.18 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 60c | 516.83$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 53c | 373.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 74c | 268.63$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 74c | 265.84$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 48c | 250.62$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.26 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 229.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…8945backed No | 58c | 187.05$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 253 | 41.5%105 W · 148 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 186.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…f052backed Yes | 46c | 185.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 55c | 177.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 35c | 177.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 43c | 174$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed No | 56c | 149.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 30c | 140.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…20c6backed No | 55c | 138$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…272cbacked Yes | 11c | 129.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 727 | 26.4%192 W · 535 L | +63.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cc…a95dbacked No | 76c | 129.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 70 | 81.4%57 W · 13 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 60c | 129.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…628cbacked No | 57c | 126.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked No | 64c | 115.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 41c | 111.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 69c | 109.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f1b1backed Yes | 44c | 107.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…7825backed No | 63c | 103.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 106 | 14.2%15 W · 91 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 34c | 102.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 49c | 102.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bf…a27ebacked Yes | 46c | 90.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 16c | 85.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 63c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 37c | 74.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 58c | 71.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 29c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…36b3backed Yes | 52c | 64.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…9903backed No | 47c | 64.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 45c | 60.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 33c | 59.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c8…b823backed Yes | 50c | 56.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…f5c3backed Yes | 40c | 55.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 47c | 54.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9caa…1a3fbacked Yes | 44c | 51.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…8ee7backed No | 60c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…efa9backed Yes | 52c | 48.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6df…93fabacked Yes | 45c | 45.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…eb33backed No | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0f…b8aabacked No | 60c | 42.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…f928backed Yes | 53c | 42.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed No | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 42c | 40.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…e9d8backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 51c | 39.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 39c | 36.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 257 | 25.7%66 W · 191 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed Yes | 58c | 36.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 46c | 35.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…815abacked No | 55c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…644fbacked No | 56c | 31.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed Yes | 49c | 29.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…91f9backed No | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…3de8backed Yes | 38c | 27.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 685 | 21.5%147 W · 538 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…71e6backed Yes | 40c | 27.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…34c3backed Yes | 44c | 26.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2517…87d9backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…1705backed No | 55c | 24.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…7c31backed No | 52c | 24.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 66c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 54c | 21.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…5d3dbacked No | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 57c | 20.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…c774backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 58c | 18.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 60c | 17.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…fa55backed No | 61c | 16.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d0…db89backed No | 61c | 16.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3d…2c18backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.