MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7196aac4ec209db72140ceba73ae565bc193ff8f56e90a632394f627165616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Doosan Bears, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kia Tigers | 70c | 2,505$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.31 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 23c | 2,272$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Doosan Bears | 29c | 970.67$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 501.05$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.05 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Doosan Bears | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 476.19$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 420$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9c…06c6backed Doosan Bears | 24c | 390$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 319$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 273.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 29c | 245$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Doosan Bears | 29c | 164.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Kia Tigers | 57c | 160.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Doosan Bears | 27c | 154.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Kia Tigers | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Doosan Bears | 26c | 97.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 70c | 84.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 78.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Doosan Bears | 26c | 58.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 57.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d74…96b8backed Doosan Bears | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Kia Tigers | 79c | 54.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Kia Tigers | 72c | 49.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 39.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 36.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 35.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 30.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 26.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.