NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda79cb943802640fba8a3cf7a76e039e41abab310120e061332b4d937980e84c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Pacers | 1c | 5,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…83d6backed Pacers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…3e9dbacked Pacers | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…b702backed Pacers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…aa83backed Heat | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…ec16backed Pacers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…fe32backed Heat | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…3791backed Heat | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…8208backed Heat | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…ff65backed Pacers | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…0100backed Heat | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…bd07backed Pacers | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…d9d0backed Heat | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a9…b20ebacked Pacers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…d370backed Heat | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +246.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…ac41backed Heat | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…3fe3backed Heat | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…cb1cbacked Pacers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…7bb6backed Pacers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…5a3fbacked Heat | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…cb73backed Heat | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c8…31bcbacked Pacers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…9095backed Pacers | 57c | 4,998$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pacers | 50c | 4,257$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.9 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Heat | 35c | 3,225$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…66f9backed Pacers | 62c | 3,225$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…d09ebacked Pacers | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pacers | 2c | 2,506$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Heat | 67c | 2,500$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Heat | 38c | 1,842$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.11 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 40c | 1,719$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Pacers | 61c | 1,317$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.66 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Heat | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Pacers | 63c | 1,300$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heat | 73c | 1,262$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.08 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Heat | 39c | 1,024$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.6 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Heat | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f84fbacked Pacers | 62c | 999.97$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers | 33c | 890.96$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.02 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Heat | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 38c | 824.24$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.47 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Heat | 39c | 784.17$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.19 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pacers | 11c | 726.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Pacers | 16c | 721.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Pacers | 63c | 682.54$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Heat | 39c | 652.56$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.39 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Heat | 72c | 608.89$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Pacers | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Heat | 37c | 550$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Heat | 35c | 482.81$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.83 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…ad4fbacked Pacers | 63c | 475.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Heat | 37c | 399.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.97 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc6…603cbacked Heat | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Heat | 38c | 363.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Heat | 43c | 351.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Heat | 38c | 334.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Heat | 38c | 322.08$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed9…2f7cbacked Pacers | 64c | 309.55$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14d…368ebacked Heat | 39c | 309.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pacers | 65c | 307.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Heat | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Pacers | 8c | 240$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…24b0backed Heat | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…b372backed Heat | 71c | 215.9$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Pacers | 33c | 203.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Heat | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Pacers | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Pacers | 63c | 198.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118f…9088backed Pacers | 55c | 183.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…ee14backed Pacers | 60c | 178.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…4795backed Pacers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 63.6%77 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…1d77backed Pacers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1eb…76febacked Pacers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…1513backed Pacers | 61c | 164.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Pacers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…aa1fbacked Pacers | 62c | 162.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Pacers | 60c | 161.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b61…be28backed Pacers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…f76dbacked Pacers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…7c06backed Pacers | 63c | 159.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…15f9backed Pacers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…d323backed Pacers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Pacers | 7c | 151.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Heat | 37c | 149.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…c28dbacked Heat | 37c | 145.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…c8bbbacked Heat | 38c | 142.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 43c | 136.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.68 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7661…42dbbacked Heat | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…7462backed Heat | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed Heat | 38c | 131.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…4ee5backed Heat | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Heat | 35c | 127.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Pacers | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Heat | 60c | 118.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…8104backed Heat | 37c | 116.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e23…51c3backed Heat | 37c | 108.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Heat | 40c | 102.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554e…6e9dbacked Pacers | 61c | 100.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6aefbacked Heat | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.