MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdadc033364eb83a4bfc12d1ac01422931b2bc098c969b554c8f4e49d7df2f043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 7,427$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.27 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 7,277$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.58 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 6,516$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.52 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 4,859$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.95 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 80c | 2,523$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.65 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 1,485$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,259$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.43 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.69 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,009$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.14 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 1,000$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 538.78$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.55 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 24c | 515.01$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 459.74$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 379.83$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 291.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.64 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 284.72$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 255.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chicago Cubs | 36c | 230.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 206.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…6151backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Chicago Cubs | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 103.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…523fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 24c | 90.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4a1cbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 66.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ee…2198backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 52.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 38.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 35.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…bc50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 34.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.