MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbc6c8f3300b1d00238a33b65cda8b5c4b3120dc6acf3bdd3e86be7ff663eb7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof NC Dinos, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed NC Dinos | 15c | 2,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.27 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed NC Dinos | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KT Wiz | 67c | 1,123$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…982cbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 806.99$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed NC Dinos | 54c | 329.93$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed KT Wiz | 64c | 326.12$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 47c | 229.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 19c | 218.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed NC Dinos | 25c | 190$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked KT Wiz | 56c | 175.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 42c | 162.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed NC Dinos | 28c | 160.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked NC Dinos | 25c | 154.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NC Dinos | 60c | 144$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KT Wiz | 47c | 122$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 47c | 121.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed NC Dinos | 53c | 118.59$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KT Wiz | 48c | 110.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked KT Wiz | 48c | 105.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked KT Wiz | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked KT Wiz | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed NC Dinos | 48c | 95.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…5b74backed KT Wiz | 66c | 93.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked NC Dinos | 51c | 92.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 48c | 88.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed KT Wiz | 58c | 84.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 65c | 82.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 26c | 82.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed KT Wiz | 48c | 81.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked NC Dinos | 55c | 77.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NC Dinos | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed KT Wiz | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…3ae8backed KT Wiz | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed KT Wiz | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed KT Wiz | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked NC Dinos | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KT Wiz | 77c | 27.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed KT Wiz | 44c | 24.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NC Dinos | 51c | 24.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed NC Dinos | 52c | 23.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked NC Dinos | 51c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.