Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
American Eagles vs. Navy Midshipmen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcb28dca779fd830c4d694c611973c570e76b15a00fc3acb111640b170d4638f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof American Eagles, Navy Midshipmen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe348…a303backed Navy Midshipmen | 77c | 3,799$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked American Eagles | 29c | 2,869$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked American Eagles | 28c | 1,083$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 69c | 995.22$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.49 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked American Eagles | 31c | 893.15$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.82 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Navy Midshipmen | 60c | 810$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.6 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed American Eagles | 38c | 486$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Navy Midshipmen | 70c | 430$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.19 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed American Eagles | 22c | 399.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked American Eagles | 30c | 292.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed American Eagles | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Navy Midshipmen | 70c | 262$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Navy Midshipmen | 66c | 201.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Navy Midshipmen | 70c | 176.82$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Navy Midshipmen | 62c | 168.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Navy Midshipmen | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Navy Midshipmen | 66c | 91.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 69c | 86.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed American Eagles | 23c | 82.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked American Eagles | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Navy Midshipmen | 65c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked American Eagles | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…757fbacked Navy Midshipmen | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed American Eagles | 33c | 45.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…19e9backed American Eagles | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 72c | 43.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navy Midshipmen | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed American Eagles | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed American Eagles | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked American Eagles | 29c | 38.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed American Eagles | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Navy Midshipmen | 66c | 24.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Navy Midshipmen | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Navy Midshipmen | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 66c | 17.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Navy Midshipmen | 70c | 15.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- American Eagles vs. Navy Midshipmenthis page
- American Eagles vs. Navy Midshipmen: O/U 134.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.