CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcca939c7296bf7969d28f43bf147de11ace2b8dec6be619500a278a0f78019c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 5,063$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.15 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa018…48ecbacked G2 Ares | 47c | 1,787$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 1,309$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.9 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed G2 Ares | 55c | 1,278$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.86 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Ares | 61c | 1,073$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.59 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked G2 Ares | 54c | 863.45$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.19 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 51c | 767.61$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.75 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 61c | 575.21$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.7 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked ex-RUBY | 39c | 519.67$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.39 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked G2 Ares | 42c | 517.05$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked ex-RUBY | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked G2 Ares | 43c | 382.45$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.69 | 284 | 40.5%115 W · 169 L | -17.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…2b1dbacked G2 Ares | 22c | 363$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked ex-RUBY | 37c | 359.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.19 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 41c | 359.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 35c | 351.61$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.88 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 301.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 288.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.71 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed G2 Ares | 43c | 257.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed G2 Ares | 71c | 247$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed G2 Ares | 42c | 226.39$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 223.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 222.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed G2 Ares | 47c | 218.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed G2 Ares | 49c | 202.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 48c | 191.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 184.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Ares | 57c | 160.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed ex-RUBY | 42c | 155.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 30c | 151.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked G2 Ares | 65c | 150.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked G2 Ares | 39c | 120.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed ex-RUBY | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked G2 Ares | 42c | 108.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed G2 Ares | 42c | 103.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-RUBY | 33c | 94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.76 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdec…8102backed ex-RUBY | 24c | 93.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 38c | 88.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf120…ce3cbacked ex-RUBY | 30c | 87.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 85.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed G2 Ares | 39c | 81.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked G2 Ares | 44c | 77.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 74.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 73.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 67.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 53c | 64.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed G2 Ares | 43c | 63.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed G2 Ares | 64c | 62.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Ares | 57c | 59.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked G2 Ares | 59c | 59.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 52.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares | 29c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 47.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 44.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 64c | 42.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed G2 Ares | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…82a8backed G2 Ares | 71c | 37.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 107 | 75.7%81 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed G2 Ares | 50c | 36.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 35.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…f16dbacked G2 Ares | 37c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed G2 Ares | 56c | 25.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 25.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 24.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed G2 Ares | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 19.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 861 | 54.1%466 W · 395 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…4c73backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 18.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)ex-RUBY won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.