CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc10229a0ed401cbed636cfdcb700d0ce445f6f4ab36bccffda365ed0ec10f9f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 8,489$5,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.84 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed G2 Ares | 45c | 1,732$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.57 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 1,291$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.89 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Ares | 41c | 1,062$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.03 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 32c | 1,038$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 41c | 868.01$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed G2 Ares | 40c | 857.97$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.91 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares | 30c | 732.53$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked G2 Ares | 39c | 580$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.65 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 574.1$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.14 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ex-RUBY | 49c | 555$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.05 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares | 38c | 534.8$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17f…fe84backed G2 Ares | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed G2 Ares | 33c | 485.58$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.1 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked G2 Ares | 36c | 408$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 39c | 375.73$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.01 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed G2 Ares | 35c | 369.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 363.55$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 363.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed G2 Ares | 37c | 311.76$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked G2 Ares | 41c | 299.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed G2 Ares | 41c | 297$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed G2 Ares | 41c | 294.39$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 286.37$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…2e69backed G2 Ares | 34c | 264.21$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed G2 Ares | 43c | 258.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed G2 Ares | 33c | 251.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.23 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…1e4ebacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 43cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 40c | 220.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked ex-RUBY | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed G2 Ares | 45c | 173.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 171.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked G2 Ares | 35c | 167.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Ares | 53c | 149$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked G2 Ares | 39c | 143.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUBY | 72c | 137.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares | 43c | 136.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 54c | 131$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 130.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares | 21c | 108.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked G2 Ares | 40c | 103.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed G2 Ares | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed G2 Ares | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed G2 Ares | 26c | 82.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 82.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 80.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…82a8backed ex-RUBY | 70c | 72.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 107 | 75.7%81 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 44c | 71.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 60.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed G2 Ares | 28c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked G2 Ares | 38c | 51.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed G2 Ares | 32c | 51.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efe…d987backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 47.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…3fadbacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 43.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked G2 Ares | 43c | 40.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed G2 Ares | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed G2 Ares | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed G2 Ares | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 30.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…be53backed G2 Ares | 41c | 29.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Ares | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stageex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)ex-RUBY won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.