Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Mali vs Sierra Leone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd901316fbdf180827f0f1edaa11098f6c57b5adf3016eda1ebdd6eee305692c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sierra Leoneof Mali, Sierra Leone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Mali | 12c | 2,653$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.39 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Mali | 10c | 2,043$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.34 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mali | 11c | 2,021$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.21 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mali | 10c | 1,210$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Mali | 4c | 895$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mali | 10c | 808.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…5047backed Mali | 27c | 745.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mali | 18c | 535.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Mali | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Sierra Leone | 75c | 400.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Mali | 15c | 384.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Mali | 18c | 271.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Mali | 18c | 224$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Sierra Leone | 78c | 214.76$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Mali | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…6660backed Mali | 14c | 205$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Mali | 12c | 195$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Mali | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Mali | 10c | 114.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Sierra Leone | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…b4c3backed Mali | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…87d2backed Sierra Leone | 76c | 65.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sierra Leone | 78c | 62.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sierra Leone | 78c | 59.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Mali | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…d3d6backed Sierra Leone | 76c | 32.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sierra Leone | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Sierra Leone | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Sierra Leone | 65c | 21.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.