Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Arribage/Olivetti vs Ho/Jebens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddddc15e16b0a9d38c2764053c57555aeb6ef472989e17af522b6b8ac08d9562
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ho/Jebensof Arribage/Olivetti, Ho/Jebens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ho/Jebens | 22c | 599.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Ho/Jebens | 29c | 582.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.02 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Arribage/Olivetti | 70c | 499.99$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.29 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Ho/Jebens | 75c | 345.59$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ho/Jebens | 42c | 190.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Arribage/Olivetti | 29c | 185.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Ho/Jebens | 21c | 172.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.94 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Ho/Jebens | 30c | 159.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ho/Jebens | 50c | 154.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Arribage/Olivetti | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240b…c32abacked Arribage/Olivetti | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arribage/Olivetti | 68c | 106.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Arribage/Olivetti | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…ae5cbacked Ho/Jebens | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Arribage/Olivetti | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Arribage/Olivetti | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Arribage/Olivetti | 48c | 76.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…4369backed Arribage/Olivetti | 77c | 72.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ho/Jebens | 23c | 67.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Arribage/Olivetti | 70c | 61.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Arribage/Olivetti | 77c | 54.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1,068 | 57.4%613 W · 455 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Ho/Jebens | 23c | 52.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 372 | 53.8%200 W · 172 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa003…ab91backed Arribage/Olivetti | 78c | 51.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ho/Jebens | 51c | 50.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Arribage/Olivetti | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Arribage/Olivetti | 48c | 46.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…f2f8backed Arribage/Olivetti | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ho/Jebens | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Ho/Jebens | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…85d7backed Arribage/Olivetti | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Ho/Jebens | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…8a52backed Arribage/Olivetti | 80c | 15.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Arribage/Olivetti | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Arribage/Olivetti | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Arribage/Olivetti vs Ho/Jebensthis page
- Set Handicap: Arribage/Olivetti (-1.5) vs Ho/Jebens (+1.5)Ho/Jebens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.