Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde00f2f9b089b9f5c2fd319e05dc92f3b70bf823a8320c0178d9751d1b2d193a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTXof GIANTX, Solary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Solary | 74c | 7,413$5,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,483.06 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed GIANTX | 26c | 5,992$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.46 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed GIANTX | 49c | 3,500$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.32 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Solary | 74c | 3,500$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.97 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Solary | 50c | 2,044$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.31 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked GIANTX | 26c | 2,001$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.39 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GIANTX | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Solary | 74c | 1,988$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.74 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed GIANTX | 26c | 1,485$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.62 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Solary | 50c | 1,224$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.61 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Solary | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked GIANTX | 51c | 761.19$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.85 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked GIANTX | 26c | 693.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.91 | 404 | 41.8%169 W · 235 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked GIANTX | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed GIANTX | 52c | 573.15$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed GIANTX | 26c | 509.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.39 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Solary | 50c | 467.82$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.84 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…479dbacked GIANTX | 26c | 465.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 23cpaid | +355.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Solary | 75c | 333$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Solary | 75c | 332.85$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked GIANTX | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed GIANTX | 25c | 303.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.16 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Solary | 74c | 262.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.27 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GIANTX | 25c | 230.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.11 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Solary | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked GIANTX | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed GIANTX | 27c | 196.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked GIANTX | 51c | 163.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Solary | 76c | 136$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…d036backed GIANTX | 57c | 130.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…1cbbbacked GIANTX | 57c | 130.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed GIANTX | 26c | 105.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Solary | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50d4…263ebacked GIANTX | 57c | 92.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Solary | 75c | 91.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Solary | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Solary | 77c | 69.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed GIANTX | 26c | 61.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked GIANTX | 24c | 57.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed GIANTX | 24c | 53.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Solary | 36c | 51.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Solary | 22c | 50.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed GIANTX | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Solary | 72c | 37.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Solary | 72c | 37.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed Solary | 75c | 33.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked Solary | 76c | 26.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Solary | 76c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Solary | 76c | 23.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Solary | 50c | 21.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Solary | 52c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed GIANTX | 53c | 20.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.