Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x431afbfa0168e2645224709cf739f284d5c0bce65d31f986196b5e1cf9420999
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 54c | 4,459$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.94 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 46c | 3,794$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 54c | 2,987$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.03 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 45c | 2,970$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.84 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Under | 55c | 1,868$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 47c | 1,254$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.06 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab2…41babacked Over | 45c | 787.34$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 746.75$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.97 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…9a33backed Over | 45c | 657$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.65 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 46c | 555$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…78c7backed Over | 45c | 551.34$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 55c | 516$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…aa2abacked Over | 45c | 505$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 37c | 452.04$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 73c | 332.09$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 275$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 46c | 243.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 46c | 240.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 56c | 208$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 55c | 167$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 55c | 162.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.31 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 46c | 134.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 55c | 126$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 122.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 184 | 36.4%67 W · 117 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 57c | 117$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 383 | 58%222 W · 161 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Under | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Under | 55c | 102.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over | 45c | 99.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 45c | 90.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 244 | 35.7%87 W · 157 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Over | 45c | 88.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 45c | 78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 45c | 75.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 35c | 67.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 53c | 64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Under | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4877…25edbacked Over | 46c | 61.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under | 55c | 57.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 43c | 53.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Over | 45c | 48.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Over | 44c | 48.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 795 | 45.3%360 W · 435 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)GIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.