Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Haven Chargers vs. Chicago State Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde2dbc65c57a38d8272316ff1d24b7f09a6d6fdbe763e4d58918ece52652a904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Haven Chargersof New Haven Chargers, Chicago State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bab…53e6backed New Haven Chargers | 34c | 7,666$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,066.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago State Cougars | 71c | 3,069$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Chicago State Cougars | 67c | 2,418$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.43 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Chicago State Cougars | 59c | 1,226$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.9 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Chicago State Cougars | 52c | 918.85$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chicago State Cougars | 70c | 639.84$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.79 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed New Haven Chargers | 29c | 628.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.35 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Haven Chargers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 568.51$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Chicago State Cougars | 66c | 507.77$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.9 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed New Haven Chargers | 15c | 500.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.33 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed New Haven Chargers | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago State Cougars | 55c | 385$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 68c | 328.59$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.54 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed New Haven Chargers | 24c | 314.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.87 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed New Haven Chargers | 48c | 289.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.55 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Haven Chargers | 48c | 285.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Chicago State Cougars | 67c | 265.57$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.55 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Chicago State Cougars | 66c | 180$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed New Haven Chargers | 30c | 169.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Chicago State Cougars | 7c | 156$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Chicago State Cougars | 66c | 150.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed New Haven Chargers | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Chicago State Cougars | 34c | 135.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked New Haven Chargers | 47c | 127.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago State Cougars | 38c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…0348backed Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 68.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed New Haven Chargers | 27c | 58.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 51.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Chicago State Cougars | 72c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed New Haven Chargers | 22c | 45.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd4…8a34backed Chicago State Cougars | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Haven Chargers | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c17bbacked New Haven Chargers | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd256…9953backed New Haven Chargers | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…070cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 64c | 28.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago State Cougars | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.