Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde5250fe164273f5b388947be2017d7a61ff4d1c5c2a1e2e168c6c4d796533d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof NAVI Junior, Beşiktaş Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Beşiktaş Esports | 27c | 2,076$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.48 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NAVI Junior | 66c | 1,990$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.27 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NAVI Junior | 69c | 1,457$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.33 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 27c | 488.86$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed NAVI Junior | 65c | 479.62$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.04 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Beşiktaş Esports | 21c | 294$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior | 75c | 289.14$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 11c | 268.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 43c | 230.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 27c | 180.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 17c | 158.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Beşiktaş Esports | 45c | 154.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Beşiktaş Esports | 39c | 150.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 30c | 122.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked NAVI Junior | 66c | 118$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked NAVI Junior | 56c | 108.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 34c | 107.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Beşiktaş Esports | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Beşiktaş Esports | 32c | 74.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed NAVI Junior | 59c | 67.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Beşiktaş Esports | 29c | 66.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…bd31backed NAVI Junior | 59c | 62.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Beşiktaş Esports | 37c | 61.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…fb3cbacked NAVI Junior | 66c | 47.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed NAVI Junior | 66c | 47.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Beşiktaş Esports | 37c | 43.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NAVI Junior | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed NAVI Junior | 70c | 39.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 26c | 39.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…bb65backed NAVI Junior | 55c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NAVI Junior | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Beşiktaş Esports | 39c | 33.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed NAVI Junior | 71c | 26.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Beşiktaş Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Beşiktaş Esports (-2.5) vs NAVI Junior (+2.5)NAVI Junior won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group ANAVI Junior won
- Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Beşiktaş Esports - Map 2 WinnerNAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.