TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yakult Brothersof Yakult Brothers, Game Master
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Game Master51c15,227$7,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,768.131,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Yakult Brothers51c2,534$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.748053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yakult Brothers42c2,500$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.081,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed Yakult Brothers47c1,910$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.812350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Game Master37c1,703$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6363534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Game Master46c1,689$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.3317133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Yakult Brothers49c1,510$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.4154246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yakult Brothers55c1,338$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.881,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yakult Brothers60c1,218$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.671,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Game Master1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Yakult Brothers50c928$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46428347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Yakult Brothers53c910.4$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1247046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Yakult Brothers47c904.57$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.5722340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers56c844.63$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.92,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yakult Brothers59c793.69$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.2993546.4%434 W · 501 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Yakult Brothers45c750$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41051364.9%333 W · 180 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Game Master53c678.64$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2238855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked Yakult Brothers47c655.89$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.0415957.2%91 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Yakult Brothers49c653.04$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.4895342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0e…2330backed Game Master43c629.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.95639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Yakult Brothers40c622.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.541,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Yakult Brothers49c618.85$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.681,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Game Master20c583.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.931,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c4…3c1abacked Yakult Brothers56c560$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.43250%16 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked Yakult Brothers53c550$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26032756.9%186 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Game Master47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9945457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yakult Brothers58c495.36$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0516842.9%72 W · 96 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Game Master47c482.97$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7614943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Game Master52c453.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9550832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Yakult Brothers48c434.82$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.8215358.8%90 W · 63 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked Yakult Brothers52c384.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0222438.8%87 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yakult Brothers51c381.03$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6628341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Game Master42c373.71$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.91,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Yakult Brothers45c362.43$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7912065.8%79 W · 41 L+15.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yakult Brothers39c343.56$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.5774549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Game Master61c323.43$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2953844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Game Master18c311.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5452046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yakult Brothers49c297.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.81,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Game Master55c273.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Yakult Brothers56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8648054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Yakult Brothers54c246.3$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.316055.6%89 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Yakult Brothers57c244.53$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.153455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed Yakult Brothers57c244.53$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.152839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Yakult Brothers52c237.78$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7826147.9%125 W · 136 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe296…046ebacked Game Master53c231$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Game Master45c224.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.261,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Game Master30c213.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.031,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Yakult Brothers48c209.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4433041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbf…af49backed Game Master57c207.02$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Yakult Brothers53c201.89$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8438759.4%230 W · 157 L+26.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x454a…0f14backed Game Master54c164.32$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882842.9%12 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-29.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Game Master8c159.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7658943%253 W · 336 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yakult Brothers72c157.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7834041.2%140 W · 200 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yakult Brothers48c156.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.31,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked Yakult Brothers58c144.57$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.725156.9%29 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Yakult Brothers69c143.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.238645.3%39 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Yakult Brothers57c140.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.613941.7%58 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Game Master52c127.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0378516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed Yakult Brothers71c127$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.836271%44 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Game Master49c108.98$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.440442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eda…4498backed Yakult Brothers50c108.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.710562.9%66 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Yakult Brothers55c100.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0610244.1%45 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Yakult Brothers55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4565863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…42a7backed Game Master59c87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.211338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yakult Brothers43c86.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0365647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x456e…968bbacked Game Master58c76.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.981850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Yakult Brothers55c71.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.344149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yakult Brothers51c70.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5919053.2%101 W · 89 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Yakult Brothers50c66.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.225745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Game Master46c63.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3538244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Game Master50c59.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3091356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yakult Brothers49c59.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1891553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Yakult Brothers55c54.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.264955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Yakult Brothers56c47.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.812748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Game Master44c47.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6452950.9%269 W · 260 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4564…e4f1backed Game Master39c38.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Game Master44c36.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0231835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Yakult Brothers60c35.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0781345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe522…8c25backed Yakult Brothers55c32.96$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.832055%11 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Yakult Brothers49c31.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Game Master59c28.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755561.8%343 W · 212 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1d…a420backed Game Master46c25.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yakult Brothers56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Yakult Brothers61c22.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9315342.5%65 W · 88 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.