Tennis · resolved market
ITF Klosters: Dune Vaissaud vs Josephine Kunz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf36ca8636d519c12a9801dbb69d27d78de4c2068b658416cfab99323e69898f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dune Vaissaudof Dune Vaissaud, Josephine Kunz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Dune Vaissaud | 76c | 1,671$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.08 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Dune Vaissaud | 65c | 1,429$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.86 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Dune Vaissaud | 65c | 1,112$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.09 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Josephine Kunz | 19c | 985.72$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.65 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Josephine Kunz | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dune Vaissaud | 77c | 558.94$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Josephine Kunz | 33c | 548.91$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Josephine Kunz | 33c | 519.41$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.41 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Dune Vaissaud | 74c | 444.79$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Josephine Kunz | 32c | 346.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Dune Vaissaud | 75c | 289.69$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Josephine Kunz | 35c | 228.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Josephine Kunz | 31c | 198.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Josephine Kunz | 29c | 189.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Dune Vaissaud | 57c | 170.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Josephine Kunz | 35c | 161.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dune Vaissaud | 69c | 134.85$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Josephine Kunz | 43c | 130.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Josephine Kunz | 43c | 112.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Josephine Kunz | 42c | 102.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Josephine Kunz | 44c | 89.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Josephine Kunz | 39c | 78.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Josephine Kunz | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…0030backed Dune Vaissaud | 67c | 74.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dune Vaissaud | 67c | 70.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Josephine Kunz | 38c | 65.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Dune Vaissaud | 79c | 59.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Dune Vaissaud | 55c | 49.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Josephine Kunz | 36c | 48.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Josephine Kunz | 48c | 47.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Josephine Kunz | 34c | 47.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Josephine Kunz | 40c | 45.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Josephine Kunz | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…6734backed Dune Vaissaud | 70c | 31.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Dune Vaissaud | 52c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Dune Vaissaud | 54c | 28.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Josephine Kunz | 44c | 27.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Dune Vaissaud | 55c | 23.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Dune Vaissaud | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Klosters: Dune Vaissaud vs Josephine Kunzthis page
- Set Handicap: Vaissaud (-1.5) vs Kunz (+1.5)Kunz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.