La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf54f1c4db97c831288c443159a44ecd22c27d646e9bb8fe977287271c59e59b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 2,645$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.27 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 1,957$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.45 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 1,526$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.74 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 49c | 684.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.64 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 51c | 550.71$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.85 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 54c | 371.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 307.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 12c | 244.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 52c | 221.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 28c | 194.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 52c | 192.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 29c | 184.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 153$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Yes | 75c | 149.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 27c | 138.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 26c | 120$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 32c | 101.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 15c | 100.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Yes | 75c | 65.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 62.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 76c | 61.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 50.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 45c | 45.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 50c | 43.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…2651backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Yes | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 72c | 18.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Real Zaragoza end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.