NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf602174d77030e7687325815978eb75aa82433dfb35369879d5cc9d8af78d8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Trail Blazers, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 13,190$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.12 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 6,041$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 4,630$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.93 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 4,280$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…ae77backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 3,992$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 2,905$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.9 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 2,542$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 2,372$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 2,307$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 1,920$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,750$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 1,718$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…4c5ebacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,339$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 1,324$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,281$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.41 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 999.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…0cebbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 939.09$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 774$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…9c15backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 707.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…3bffbacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 620$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 615.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b6…2f9fbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 611.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 551.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 550$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc9…da75backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 525.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 511.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…8625backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 499.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…758bbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 483.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 445.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…7352backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 439.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 427.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 424.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…e446backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 399.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0355…4c8cbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 345.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 342.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 340.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 319.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 152 | 34.9%53 W · 99 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa165…6f85backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…2a44backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 232.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 223.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…a9e3backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 207.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…8e4cbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 201.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b0…dd7abacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 171.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…c2f4backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 138.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 122.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…e000backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 113.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +172.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 112.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…92dcbacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 112.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ac…a40bbacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 100.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8237…a0debacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8458…f153backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 99.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…69fabacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6c…f4e7backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 67.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…4629backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Rockets | 61c | 35.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…fdebbacked Rockets | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Rockets | 73c | 23.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2558…9acebacked Rockets | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.