Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
American Eagles vs. Boston Terriers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf66cad22e41165f48a456e8e52305d3c3790b89a2fb6fe16b530272d954ded0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- American Eaglesof American Eagles, Boston Terriers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed American Eagles | 56c | 3,218$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Terriers | 42c | 1,329$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…26aebacked Boston Terriers | 40c | 1,306$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Terriers | 35c | 774.15$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.78 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked American Eagles | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Terriers | 27c | 587.05$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Boston Terriers | 36c | 576.31$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.93 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Boston Terriers | 51c | 415.09$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed American Eagles | 41c | 407.4$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.94 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boston Terriers | 51c | 330.79$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Boston Terriers | 10c | 323.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Boston Terriers | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Terriers | 27c | 264$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…9ad6backed Boston Terriers | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked American Eagles | 53c | 137.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Terriers | 22c | 109.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Boston Terriers | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked American Eagles | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Boston Terriers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Boston Terriers | 17c | 94.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed American Eagles | 68c | 91.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked American Eagles | 47c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Boston Terriers | 20c | 67.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed American Eagles | 29c | 48.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Boston Terriers | 33c | 31.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Boston Terriers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed American Eagles | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Boston Terriers | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed American Eagles | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked American Eagles | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Boston Terriers | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Boston Terriers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.