Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf7e27019a9e38f4dac8836d50511f8385a9beecf1fc4291ee3dbe1ebdf3344e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Spirit Academy, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PuckChamp | 65c | 8,072$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.43 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Spirit Academy | 34c | 7,543$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.5 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…ffe2backed Spirit Academy | 65c | 4,536$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.53 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Spirit Academy | 35c | 4,087$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.79 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PuckChamp | 67c | 2,734$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.11 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Spirit Academy | 34c | 2,662$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.15 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Spirit Academy | 67c | 1,797$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed PuckChamp | 58c | 1,502$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.54 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 1,416$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Spirit Academy | 30c | 1,073$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.44 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed PuckChamp | 22c | 1,006$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.33 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Spirit Academy | 32c | 973.64$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.04 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Spirit Academy | 17c | 800.37$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.4 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PuckChamp | 44c | 710.8$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.66 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 53c | 706.61$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.46 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Spirit Academy | 29c | 704.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.31 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed PuckChamp | 50c | 700$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PuckChamp | 59c | 700$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked PuckChamp | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 610$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.3 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp | 69c | 607.14$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.13 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked PuckChamp | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PuckChamp | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed PuckChamp | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 489.05$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.32 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Spirit Academy | 66c | 475.24$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed PuckChamp | 49c | 435.63$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.09 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Spirit Academy | 15c | 417.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.16 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Spirit Academy | 27c | 416.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.93 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PuckChamp | 43c | 407.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed PuckChamp | 44c | 399.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0b16backed Spirit Academy | 27c | 391.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.96 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Spirit Academy | 34c | 362.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed PuckChamp | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked PuckChamp | 25c | 349.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed PuckChamp | 22c | 328.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed PuckChamp | 30c | 315$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…6019backed PuckChamp | 61c | 309.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed PuckChamp | 53c | 302.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…c00ebacked PuckChamp | 67c | 259.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.67 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed PuckChamp | 28c | 242.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed PuckChamp | 70c | 234.69$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.46 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed PuckChamp | 66c | 234.13$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e5…8850backed Spirit Academy | 19c | 228.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +414.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Spirit Academy | 34c | 207.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.98 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked PuckChamp | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PuckChamp | 42c | 194.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed PuckChamp | 38c | 193$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PuckChamp | 53c | 190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed PuckChamp | 13c | 183.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked PuckChamp | 52c | 176.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PuckChamp | 68c | 173.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Spirit Academy | 77c | 166.9$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp | 50c | 156.02$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked PuckChamp | 67c | 148.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…3d66backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 139.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Spirit Academy | 67c | 122$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Spirit Academy | 45c | 120.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Spirit Academy | 26c | 119.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Spirit Academy | 38c | 118$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spirit Academy | 39c | 110.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp | 70c | 109.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.17 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked PuckChamp | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit Academy | 35c | 107$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed PuckChamp | 43c | 106.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Spirit Academy | 34c | 101.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp | 55c | 100.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed PuckChamp | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8804backed PuckChamp | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd85…1a8dbacked PuckChamp | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Spirit Academy | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked PuckChamp | 26c | 95.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed PuckChamp | 67c | 91.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed PuckChamp | 76c | 90.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -15.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -66%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked PuckChamp | 67c | 88.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked PuckChamp | 25c | 87.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efb…4be4backed PuckChamp | 19c | 77.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Spirit Academy | 35c | 77.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed PuckChamp | 67c | 74.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed PuckChamp | 37c | 73.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked PuckChamp | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed PuckChamp | 32c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked PuckChamp | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed PuckChamp | 24c | 65.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 65.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Spirit Academy | 21c | 65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…dee6backed PuckChamp | 47c | 63.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked PuckChamp | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PuckChamp | 69c | 59.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit Academy | 36c | 59.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed PuckChamp | 35c | 55.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked PuckChamp | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked PuckChamp | 41c | 54.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed PuckChamp | 37c | 53.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…db89backed PuckChamp | 37c | 53.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb491…4400backed PuckChamp | 30c | 53.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PuckChamp | 37c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 43.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group ASpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerPuckChamp won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.