CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe015b55cd560c844a065b120e85774a04669f4ba77cf7f4c4c42ef48bbe5d654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof Endless Journey, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e69…6735backed Endless Journey | 49c | 1,385$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed Endless Journey | 55c | 1,144$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.96 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HAVU | 54c | 1,033$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.74 | 3,706 | 29.5%1,093 W · 2,613 L | -297.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Endless Journey | 48c | 699.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.32 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed HAVU | 52c | 512.68$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.09 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Endless Journey | 49c | 388.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 386 | 50.5%195 W · 191 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked HAVU | 48c | 347.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 603 | 45.8%276 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed HAVU | 45c | 337.94$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Endless Journey | 57c | 317.88$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 5,194 | 55.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L | +131.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…2acdbacked Endless Journey | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…315cbacked Endless Journey | 34c | 296.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed HAVU | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…4b77backed HAVU | 64c | 278.93$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…2f56backed Endless Journey | 56c | 262.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HAVU | 48c | 261$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…9340backed Endless Journey | 58c | 250.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…f61abacked HAVU | 43c | 232$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Endless Journey | 43c | 229.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 103 | 62.1%64 W · 39 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Endless Journey | 25c | 226.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 1,629 | 29.8%485 W · 1,144 L | -90.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HAVU | 48c | 222.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed HAVU | 56c | 216.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HAVU | 51c | 212.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 2,634 | 34.6%912 W · 1,722 L | -204.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed HAVU | 49c | 203.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…3daebacked HAVU | 62c | 192.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HAVU | 47c | 171.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 4,022 | 36.4%1,466 W · 2,556 L | -208.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Endless Journey | 50c | 161.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 1,710 | 53.2%909 W · 801 L | +65.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed HAVU | 50c | 158.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Endless Journey | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 402 | 45.3%182 W · 220 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed HAVU | 51c | 147.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…c16cbacked HAVU | 48c | 144.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Endless Journey | 51c | 141.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HAVU | 46c | 138$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 5,466 | 31.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L | -400.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked HAVU | 77c | 129.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Endless Journey | 50c | 129.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf066…3349backed HAVU | 52c | 127.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed HAVU | 50c | 119.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 214 | 52.3%112 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked HAVU | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 159 | 21.4%34 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Endless Journey | 51c | 97.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked HAVU | 48c | 94.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed Endless Journey | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Endless Journey | 18c | 69.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Endless Journey | 48c | 66.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Endless Journey | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked HAVU | 57c | 63.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 1,496 | 52.9%791 W · 705 L | +30.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed Endless Journey | 56c | 62.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HAVU | 58c | 62.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 5,707 | 47.2%2,694 W · 3,013 L | +45.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Endless Journey | 57c | 61.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +23.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…33c4backed HAVU | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…7139backed Endless Journey | 56c | 53.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe67f…c3f3backed Endless Journey | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Endless Journey | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,279 | 54.3%694 W · 585 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed HAVU | 44c | 45.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed HAVU | 51c | 44.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Endless Journey | 40c | 43.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107d…4fadbacked HAVU | 60c | 42.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked HAVU | 60c | 41.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 562 | 44%247 W · 315 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked HAVU | 44c | 40.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Endless Journey | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed HAVU | 52c | 38.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 581 | 49.9%290 W · 291 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…f744backed Endless Journey | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Endless Journey | 35c | 37.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Endless Journey | 51c | 32.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked HAVU | 53c | 31.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed HAVU | 57c | 30.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 569 | 48.9%278 W · 291 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Endless Journey | 52c | 30.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ff…c7a8backed Endless Journey | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed HAVU | 44c | 29.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 550 | 55.1%303 W · 247 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…881bbacked HAVU | 50c | 28.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…c28cbacked HAVU | 56c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016a…d35abacked HAVU | 54c | 25.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed Endless Journey | 51c | 25.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked HAVU | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…a02dbacked HAVU | 47c | 23.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed HAVU | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Endless Journey | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Endless Journey | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,241 | 47.6%1,067 W · 1,174 L | -59.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed HAVU | 57c | 18.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 922 | 31.2%288 W · 634 L | -63.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Endless Journey | 64c | 16.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 521 | 55.1%287 W · 234 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerHAVU won
- Counter-Strike: Endless Journey vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.