MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe016ce60b95f0039aab31be1d4567c561cd77cdd7f3bcff49875bdf7830899e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Milwaukee Brewers, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 4,514$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.8 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 3,423$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 2,772$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.74 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 74c | 2,709$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 2,379$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 1,870$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.61 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 1,820$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,810$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,213$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.46 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 982.32$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 896.17$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.39 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 860.31$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.73 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 807.09$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 522.54$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.47 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 409.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.77 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 340.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 283.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 278$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Minnesota Twins | 76c | 255.32$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 186.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Minnesota Twins | 60c | 94.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 89.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 88.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 54.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 44.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 41.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 41.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Minnesota Twins | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Minnesota Twins | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 32.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 22.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota TwinsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.