Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe035ec468207d08542c5e113d43f2f39d2310864a21f5f0a4f0130b33012fc17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsof Alabama A&M Bulldogs, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 58c | 2,329$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 69c | 2,076$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 14c | 1,775$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.58 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 40c | 1,017$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.15 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…3ceebacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 27c | 948.57$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 28c | 920$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.8 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 60c | 882.39$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 46c | 717$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.18 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 33c | 337.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.03 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 37c | 324.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 68c | 322.93$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 60c | 270.19$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 66c | 187.82$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 69c | 164.65$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 22c | 111.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 31c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 41c | 42.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsthis page
- Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: O/U 147.5Over won
- Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.