Tennis · resolved market
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Renata Zarazua
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe07b2d25462d1f931757f6b1f5ca44dc0706bc65ad8b214a00345cf894b60eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Linda Noskovaof Linda Noskova, Renata Zarazua
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Renata Zarazua | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Renata Zarazua | 11c | 8,479$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.76 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Renata Zarazua | 18c | 7,835$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.24 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Renata Zarazua | 18c | 4,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 4,004$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.2 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Renata Zarazua | 20c | 3,333$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.67 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Renata Zarazua | 19c | 2,352$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.62 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Renata Zarazua | 20c | 2,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Renata Zarazua | 7c | 2,223$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Renata Zarazua | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Renata Zarazua | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Renata Zarazua | 19c | 1,606$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.89 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Linda Noskova | 79c | 1,073$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Renata Zarazua | 18c | 999.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Renata Zarazua | 17c | 958.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.01 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Renata Zarazua | 18c | 694$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Renata Zarazua | 3c | 567.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Renata Zarazua | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Renata Zarazua | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Renata Zarazua | 18c | 496.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Renata Zarazua | 18c | 456.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Renata Zarazua | 12c | 454.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Renata Zarazua | 10c | 452.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Renata Zarazua | 7c | 159$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Renata Zarazua | 16c | 156.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Renata Zarazua | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Renata Zarazua | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Renata Zarazua | 16c | 111.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Renata Zarazua | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Renata Zarazua | 17c | 110.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Renata Zarazua | 11c | 102.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Renata Zarazua | 18c | 101.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Renata Zarazua | 17c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Renata Zarazua | 17c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a03ebacked Linda Noskova | 79c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Renata Zarazuathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs ZarazuaNoskova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.