Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Connecticut Huskies vs. Butler Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe083eb9a96c70cb854487aad41ba2c498539557d251a11f3fdc293cb615c1761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Huskiesof Connecticut Huskies, Butler Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Butler Bulldogs | 13c | 3,864$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Butler Bulldogs | 23c | 2,758$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.64 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Butler Bulldogs | 14c | 2,137$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Butler Bulldogs | 14c | 1,878$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.52 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 13c | 1,779$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.33 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Butler Bulldogs | 16c | 1,691$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.82 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 1,539$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 1,373$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Butler Bulldogs | 13c | 1,250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Connecticut Huskies | 77c | 924.64$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 877.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 875$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 525.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Butler Bulldogs | 13c | 473$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 17c | 282.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Butler Bulldogs | 19c | 280$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Butler Bulldogs | 11c | 232.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Butler Bulldogs | 19c | 230$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Butler Bulldogs | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Connecticut Huskies | 77c | 192.18$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Butler Bulldogs | 19c | 164.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Butler Bulldogs | 13c | 153.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…2c44backed Butler Bulldogs | 14c | 149.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Butler Bulldogs | 20c | 138.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 135.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 127.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Butler Bulldogs | 19c | 109$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 101.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Butler Bulldogs | 15c | 100.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Connecticut Huskies | 76c | 95.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Butler Bulldogs | 18c | 94.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Butler Bulldogs | 21c | 93.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Butler Bulldogs | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Butler Bulldogs | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Butler Bulldogs | 22c | 54.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Butler Bulldogs | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Connecticut Huskies | 52c | 40.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Connecticut Huskies | 74c | 37.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Connecticut Huskies | 77c | 30.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Connecticut Huskies | 72c | 27.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Butler Bulldogsthis page
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 143.5Over won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-10.5)Butler Bulldogs won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-11.5)Butler Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.