Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Connecticut Huskies vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f0357408958958fc2a1b06cfc7439fbc0992e5a3ec7bb360d642d5ed240347b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 43,114$21,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,549.82 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 18,888$9,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,444 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 18,437$8,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,715.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 13,576$7,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,123.43 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 53c | 8,830$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.11 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 3,339$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.49 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 3,280$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.86 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 2,133$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.11 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked Under | 51c | 1,889$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 1,448$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.92 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,052$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 802$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.98 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 706.42$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.46 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 689$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.17 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 51c | 470$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 47c | 288.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.64 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Under | 9c | 215$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 201.65$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 53c | 190.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 175$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 52c | 157$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Under | 52c | 155.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…3b01backed Under | 52c | 155.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Under | 52c | 146.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 67.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 50c | 38.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 47c | 30.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…63a6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 144.5this page
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Butler BulldogsConnecticut Huskies won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Butler Bulldogs: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-10.5)Butler Bulldogs won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-11.5)Butler Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.