Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Denis Yevseyev vs Yanki Erel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0b227df7e68bd56fcf26627f2ab503589142a462204b5bb19dc6027dbddb205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yanki Erelof Denis Yevseyev, Yanki Erel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Denis Yevseyev | 15c | 1,919$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Denis Yevseyev | 6c | 1,776$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Denis Yevseyev | 13c | 1,535$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yanki Erel | 70c | 1,486$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.69 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Denis Yevseyev | 27c | 1,386$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.65 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Denis Yevseyev | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Denis Yevseyev | 7c | 727$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Denis Yevseyev | 23c | 262.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Denis Yevseyev | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Denis Yevseyev | 21c | 214.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Denis Yevseyev | 12c | 171.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Denis Yevseyev | 10c | 143.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Denis Yevseyev | 14c | 138.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Denis Yevseyev | 19c | 130.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Denis Yevseyev | 27c | 119.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yanki Erel | 77c | 113.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yanki Erel | 79c | 97.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Denis Yevseyev | 21c | 97.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Yanki Erel | 72c | 96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Denis Yevseyev | 14c | 92.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Denis Yevseyev | 30c | 89.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yanki Erel | 79c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Denis Yevseyev | 23c | 55.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Yanki Erel | 65c | 54.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Yanki Erel | 74c | 51.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Denis Yevseyev | 35c | 50.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yanki Erel | 72c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Yanki Erel | 78c | 46.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Yanki Erel | 74c | 35.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Yanki Erel | 73c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yanki Erel | 67c | 31.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yanki Erel | 74c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yanki Erel | 78c | 31.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Yanki Erel | 72c | 27.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Yanki Erel | 79c | 24.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Yanki Erel | 68c | 23.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yanki Erel | 75c | 18.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yanki Erel | 73c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.