Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Krakow Women: Marcelina Podlinska vs Yasmine Mansouri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0cd97be14812e44f6cf2eed7302387786658522cf7023753d6b040322d78511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marcelina Podlinskaof Marcelina Podlinska, Yasmine Mansouri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yasmine Mansouri | 14c | 7,281$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.72 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Yasmine Mansouri | 31c | 6,562$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.48 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Marcelina Podlinska | 66c | 1,612$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.8 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 64c | 846$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.56 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yasmine Mansouri | 36c | 600$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.22 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Marcelina Podlinska | 80c | 533.75$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yasmine Mansouri | 30c | 451.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 67c | 299.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Marcelina Podlinska | 80c | 250.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Marcelina Podlinska | 62c | 242.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yasmine Mansouri | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 73c | 207$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Marcelina Podlinska | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 66c | 176$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Yasmine Mansouri | 16c | 147.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Marcelina Podlinska | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yasmine Mansouri | 35c | 107.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Marcelina Podlinska | 67c | 105.42$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yasmine Mansouri | 28c | 102.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yasmine Mansouri | 42c | 100.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…fbd1backed Yasmine Mansouri | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yasmine Mansouri | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Marcelina Podlinska | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Marcelina Podlinska | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yasmine Mansouri | 31c | 73.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yasmine Mansouri | 37c | 60.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Marcelina Podlinska | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Marcelina Podlinska | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd955…d1b3backed Marcelina Podlinska | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Marcelina Podlinska | 69c | 19.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.