Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0f2c7eb5ee547e3455295c6cbea5480d9c447f7a9d8aff159ea87b3b2f4b817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked No | 10c | 576.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 28c | 480.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…c5b9backed Yes | 77c | 402.35$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 21c | 238.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.64 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…9fc4backed No | 25c | 212.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 118 | 83.9%99 W · 19 L | +34.3wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 77+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 76c | 202.41$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 12c | 179.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 46c | 170.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 32c | 155.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 23c | 150.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 29c | 141.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 128.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 70c | 117.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 22c | 111.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 17c | 101.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 60c | 96.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…6a02backed Yes | 15c | 92.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 158 | 34.2%54 W · 104 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 28c | 83.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…f366backed Yes | 13c | 79.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…3604backed No | 41c | 75.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 515 | 53.6%276 W · 239 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 29c | 75.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 34c | 73.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 15c | 72.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 72.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 48c | 67.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…75f3backed Yes | 40c | 66.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 221 | 71%157 W · 64 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed No | 73c | 66.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 65.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 17c | 62.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 73c | 58.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 29c | 56.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c6…c7bfbacked Yes | 18c | 56.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 76c | 54.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…922ebacked No | 76c | 52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…d98abacked Yes | 79c | 50.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 49.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Yes | 80c | 49.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…278ebacked Yes | 25c | 49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 434 | 30.9%134 W · 300 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 29c | 48.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 35c | 46.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1e…9d49backed Yes | 72c | 45.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 80c | 42.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 57c | 41.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 64c | 40.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…7e34backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bd…b428backed Yes | 76c | 39.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 63c | 36.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa12f…9f41backed Yes | 30c | 35.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 72c | 34.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f8…fcf6backed No | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 113 | 63.7%72 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 77c | 32.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 32.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 43c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 64c | 31.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…ef46backed Yes | 76c | 28.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 75c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 75c | 27.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…931cbacked No | 70c | 24.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 71c | 21.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…1e49backed No | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 863 | 62.9%543 W · 320 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…5f41backed Yes | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 79c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…5749backed Yes | 79c | 19.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 73c | 17.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed Yes | 67c | 17.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…7d6fbacked Yes | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.