Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe104ee147a58f27944f01e7b49321f85e76364459a603631ebc127d02d32ffad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,260 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 7c | 674.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…5b5cbacked Yes | 18c | 600$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 481.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 10c | 417.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 12c | 312.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 19c | 310$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 38c | 298.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…3947backed Yes | 36c | 281.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…b868backed Yes | 8c | 238.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 291 | 37.8%110 W · 181 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 78c | 228$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 15c | 223.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…7ce8backed Yes | 9c | 220$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 200.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf083…3428backed Yes | 11c | 179.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 169.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 28c | 156.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 7c | 155$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 149.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…ec6ebacked Yes | 36c | 139.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 71c | 137.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…d842backed Yes | 19c | 122.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 29c | 116.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Yes | 19c | 115.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 26c | 114.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1,022 | 30.6%313 W · 709 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…73a4backed No | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c80…99fdbacked Yes | 12c | 112.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…0a49backed No | 69c | 112.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 118 | 78.8%93 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…1853backed Yes | 11c | 108.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5a…77e5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…476ebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df8…4005backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…498abacked Yes | 34c | 89.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 28c | 89.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 22c | 88.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 34c | 88.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…20c6backed No | 69c | 86.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…983abacked Yes | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 69c | 84.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Yes | 24c | 84.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 63c | 79.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 67c | 74.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…67cebacked Yes | 29c | 69.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 32c | 61.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 60.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…d084backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked No | 68c | 57.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 33c | 48.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 72c | 41.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…fc2fbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…5301backed No | 62c | 32.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 69 | 85.5%59 W · 10 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed No | 68c | 31.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…acc7backed No | 70c | 30.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b714backed No | 69c | 30.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 540 | 37.4%202 W · 338 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 65c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed No | 68c | 29.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…bf5cbacked No | 70c | 28.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 66c | 26.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae3…ef70backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…5e54backed No | 76c | 23.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…d0bcbacked No | 66c | 22.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 66c | 22.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…82cfbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 187 | 61%114 W · 73 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 71c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 69c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 76c | 17.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 67c | 15.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…f7b7backed No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…b4d7backed No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on March 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on March 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on March 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.