MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1a3abb8e9e596c688e91ed61e8d50c14082a829a018f6c6f2fa6d3ae09a4e0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa320…8232backed Tigers | 51c | 3,700$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.26 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 64c | 2,275$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Tigers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cardinals | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.98 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 51c | 1,413$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cardinals | 52c | 1,153$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.56 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Cardinals | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Cardinals | 53c | 947.17$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals | 49c | 945.74$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.41 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 19c | 838.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cardinals | 50c | 815$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.5 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Cardinals | 31c | 809.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 49c | 602.47$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 79c | 461$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…356abacked Tigers | 49c | 431.14$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.88 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Cardinals | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Tigers | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Cardinals | 51c | 306$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 50c | 253.97$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 41c | 218.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tigers | 72c | 212.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 5c | 205$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 49c | 202.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 50c | 200.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tigers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 12c | 192.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 69c | 169.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cardinals | 51c | 127$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Tigers | 49c | 124$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 31c | 119.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 49c | 115.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tigers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c7…6e5fbacked Tigers | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed Tigers | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Tigers | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Cardinals | 51c | 91.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cardinals | 50c | 84.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Tigers | 47c | 84.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Tigers | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 30c | 66.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3834…9b05backed Cardinals | 26c | 64.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 37c | 51.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers | 78c | 43.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Cardinals | 53c | 42.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Tigers | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…e235backed Tigers | 51c | 35.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tigers | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 51c | 34.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…f95fbacked Tigers | 64c | 31.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cardinals | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Cardinals | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd8…7f66backed Tigers | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tigers | 50c | 21.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Tigers | 75c | 18.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.