NHL · resolved market
KHL: Torpedo vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe26003c3586ec064a92a63a54c0edeb63d55f903297588a1fc971b0fda61149d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torpedoof Torpedo, Metallurg Magnitogorsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Torpedo | 32c | 1,646$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.36 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 1,547$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 64c | 983.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.07 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Torpedo | 34c | 769.57$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.92 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 66c | 504.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 486.84$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.19 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Torpedo | 34c | 441.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.53 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Torpedo | 33c | 223.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Torpedo | 27c | 192.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 190.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.43 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Torpedo | 29c | 168.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Torpedo | 44c | 163.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 158.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 158.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 153.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 61c | 110.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Torpedo | 64c | 108.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 71c | 99.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Torpedo | 15c | 78.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 61c | 77.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 73.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Torpedo | 35c | 69.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc5…5117backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 50c | 57.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Torpedo | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Torpedo | 40c | 54.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Torpedo | 42c | 45.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 66c | 44.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce22…5704backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 43.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Torpedo | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Torpedo | 34c | 40.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Torpedo | 35c | 38.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…ccf1backed Torpedo | 34c | 37.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Torpedo | 41c | 35.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 64c | 32.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…5f86backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 63c | 31.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…78f6backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 30.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 48c | 30.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 64c | 29.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…6e2fbacked Torpedo | 50c | 28.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…8d5dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 50c | 28.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…e701backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 50c | 25.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…ff88backed Torpedo | 50c | 25.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 76c | 23.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 58c | 17.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.