CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe34165739e5acc7ba918dc1e838eced20289fba745841867f3cc9f92f157fc3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Game Huntersof Bounty Hunters Esports, Game Hunters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8051…2ab5backed Game Hunters | 42c | 2,380$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 69c | 1,841$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.08 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 51c | 1,779$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.37 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Game Hunters | 42c | 1,182$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.01 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Game Hunters | 29c | 1,181$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.57 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ad…bb7dbacked Game Hunters | 26c | 1,050$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Game Hunters | 31c | 914.7$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.1 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…e20fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 25c | 875.56$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.94 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 769.61$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.29 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 46c | 611.27$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.62 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Game Hunters | 63c | 599.4$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Game Hunters | 63c | 577.61$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Game Hunters | 53c | 461.91$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.17 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Game Hunters | 22c | 432.44$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.94 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 370$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 362$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.18 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Game Hunters | 63c | 337.65$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 71c | 334.5$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Game Hunters | 29c | 310$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.1 | 489 | 39.7%194 W · 295 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 309.26$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.85 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 69c | 293.45$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.82 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 76c | 263.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 498 | 66.9%333 W · 165 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Game Hunters | 28c | 259.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.18 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Game Hunters | 24c | 258.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.12 | 294 | 43.9%129 W · 165 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 395 | 40.3%159 W · 236 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 64c | 156.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Game Hunters | 26c | 155.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.82 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…7161backed Game Hunters | 24c | 142.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -13.4wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 121.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Game Hunters | 16c | 101.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed Game Hunters | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 142 | 42.3%60 W · 82 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Game Hunters | 32c | 90.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Game Hunters | 41c | 83.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…33b5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 78.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 72.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 254 | 42.1%107 W · 147 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Game Hunters | 24c | 72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…8a82backed Game Hunters | 54c | 70.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 73c | 54.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Game Hunters | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…41b8backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 47c | 52.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…6c67backed Game Hunters | 58c | 51.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…daf4backed Game Hunters | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 76c | 47.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…6a72backed Game Hunters | 31c | 46.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…1373backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Game Hunters | 40c | 42.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked Game Hunters | 28c | 42.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…a07ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 76c | 26.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 25.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 24.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc265…50a0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 19.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 19.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 18.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 17.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 296 | 61.1%181 W · 115 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Game Hunters (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Game Hunters - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Game Hunters - Map 2 WinnerGame Hunters won
- Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs Game Hunters (+1.5)Game Hunters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.