Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4948ec45658de929d5bbcf66377ded7718b7164bbc3864c1e5776252966ae9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Marozsan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Fritz | 57c | 9,092$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.56 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Marozsan | 43c | 6,103$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.42 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Fritz | 55c | 5,435$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.65 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Marozsan | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Marozsan | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Marozsan | 46c | 1,364$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.27 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Marozsan | 45c | 999.95$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Marozsan | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…8893backed Marozsan | 46c | 644.35$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.29 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marozsan | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Marozsan | 44c | 394.84$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.73 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Fritz | 78c | 332.24$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Marozsan | 22c | 320.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Marozsan | 34c | 313.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Fritz | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Fritz | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Fritz | 70c | 285.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Marozsan | 46c | 244.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Marozsan | 45c | 224.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Fritz | 78c | 187.28$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Marozsan | 43c | 184.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Fritz | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Fritz | 56c | 177.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Marozsan | 45c | 166.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Fritz | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Fritz | 55c | 144.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 374 | 36.4%136 W · 238 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…f1eabacked Marozsan | 48c | 116.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Marozsan | 52c | 105.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Marozsan | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Fritz | 52c | 99.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Marozsan | 23c | 96.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Fritz | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…4500backed Fritz | 57c | 87.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Fritz | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Marozsan | 43c | 58.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Fritz | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Fritz | 57c | 52.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Marozsan | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Marozsan | 44c | 47.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Fritz | 73c | 38.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…6ffebacked Fritz | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fritz | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…c7ffbacked Fritz | 74c | 29.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd369…9b9bbacked Fritz | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe3…6872backed Marozsan | 47c | 25.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Marozsan | 46c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…e1a3backed Fritz | 57c | 17.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…8c3fbacked Fritz | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)this page
- Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taylor FritzTaylor Fritz won
- Marozsan vs. Fritz: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Marozsan vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.