CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. GamerLegion
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4d72221eb252168729ad4d4e76d7911c970f9f3527bb8c82bec568d7f8dcf4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Falcons, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked GamerLegion | 20c | 10,976$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.89 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed GamerLegion | 1c | 3,191$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Falcons | 78c | 2,954$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.84 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed GamerLegion | 1c | 2,534$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Falcons | 80c | 2,039$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.85 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed GamerLegion | 6c | 1,532$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.94 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed GamerLegion | 15c | 1,025$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…bbcabacked GamerLegion | 13c | 620$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed GamerLegion | 20c | 592.3$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed GamerLegion | 13c | 420$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed GamerLegion | 17c | 367.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked GamerLegion | 22c | 306$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked GamerLegion | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked GamerLegion | 16c | 275.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed GamerLegion | 15c | 228.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed GamerLegion | 16c | 222$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked GamerLegion | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed GamerLegion | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Falcons | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Falcons | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked GamerLegion | 18c | 190$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed GamerLegion | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed GamerLegion | 16c | 151.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed GamerLegion | 19c | 135$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 18c | 132.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed GamerLegion | 24c | 126.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed GamerLegion | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed GamerLegion | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked GamerLegion | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked GamerLegion | 23c | 88.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Falcons | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Falcons | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.