La Liga · resolved market
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5aaec8373c4b8891f818970dc50b17fdfe681ff4955ca2a701486008773d93f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 57c | 990.75$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.02 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…8723backed Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…6b7bbacked Yes | 41c | 553.6$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…cd83backed No | 60c | 455.45$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 59c | 328.34$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Yes | 36c | 140.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 58c | 137.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…fd7fbacked No | 59c | 134.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 40c | 124.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…d80ebacked Yes | 40c | 124.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd865…96babacked Yes | 41c | 122.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…ec8ebacked No | 64c | 106.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 106.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 565 | 38.1%215 W · 350 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfe…74e6backed No | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 61c | 99.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…87f8backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2773…d703backed Yes | 39c | 82.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…3356backed No | 60c | 57.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 58c | 50.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Yes | 38c | 39.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 43c | 35.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…2900backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 460 | 24.1%111 W · 349 L | -52.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Fermín Lopez: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Raphinha: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.