Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe627b9917b359647094e47baf8c05b449e2ceaff993fd09ce823b7bcd5443550
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,524 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 54c | 9,249$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.53 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 5,770$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.36 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 46c | 3,706$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.51 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 48c | 3,062$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 48c | 2,685$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.03 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 46c | 2,092$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.49 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 999.89$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.95 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 803.79$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.34 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Over | 46c | 646.5$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.11 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 48c | 619.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.16 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 594.76$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.27 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 51c | 548.76$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.13 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Over | 48c | 516.28$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.47 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Over | 48c | 464.66$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.62 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 454.47$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 48c | 396.51$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Over | 52c | 334.74$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 278.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 242.63$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…ed19backed Under | 46c | 222$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Under | 52c | 211.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Over | 48c | 208.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 178.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 176.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 148.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 51c | 134.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 126.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 117.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Over | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 48c | 86.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Under | 51c | 79.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 48c | 70.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 65.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 48c | 64.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed Under | 49c | 64.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 48c | 62.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…8498backed Over | 48c | 48.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Under | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 48c | 44.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 33.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 46c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 46c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 46c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 46c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 46c | 32.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…2995backed Under | 48c | 30.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 55c | 29.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Over | 48c | 29.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 28.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 46c | 26.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 22.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5this page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5Over won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-18.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-19.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.