TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Campbell Fighting Camels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Campbell Fighting Camelsof North Carolina A&T Aggies, Campbell Fighting Camels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecfa…3c6fbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies24c2,170$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7455532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Campbell Fighting Camels75c1,722$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.411,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Campbell Fighting Camels75c1,305$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6922954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Campbell Fighting Camels76c1,299$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.7384147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies25c1,111$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.752,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies25c1,101$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.071,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies25c1,031$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.742,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Campbell Fighting Camels77c617.15$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9418349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies19c607.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3837441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed North Carolina A&T Aggies24c576.25$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0862140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed North Carolina A&T Aggies25c531.64$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.511,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies16c470.56$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked North Carolina A&T Aggies26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Campbell Fighting Camels74c298.64$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6549157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Campbell Fighting Camels74c284.22$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Campbell Fighting Camels75c283.12$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.755,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies8c210.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies27c199.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.971,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Campbell Fighting Camels78c168.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed North Carolina A&T Aggies14c160.3$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.071,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed North Carolina A&T Aggies25c141.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.276740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels74c119.81$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.651,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Carolina A&T Aggies9c117.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.522,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed North Carolina A&T Aggies25c109.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.591848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2520254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed North Carolina A&T Aggies27c99.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8123331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Campbell Fighting Camels75c97.35$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.341,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Carolina A&T Aggies15c94.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.563,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina A&T Aggies15c83.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.732,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed North Carolina A&T Aggies27c77.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8642339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies26c76.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9424340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001f…4c4abacked Campbell Fighting Camels76c65.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.692665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed North Carolina A&T Aggies25c58.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5630649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked North Carolina A&T Aggies25c49.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.533445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Campbell Fighting Camels75c38.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5522950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a2…d591backed Campbell Fighting Camels75c26.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Campbell Fighting Camels74c20.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.