Lol · resolved market
LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6d50c070587bcd70f5425ad36b165d5f190883a630fc457fbad6e0ddd3b42c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LUA Gamingof LUA Gaming, FALKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FALKE Esports | 15c | 3,865$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.74 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked FALKE Esports | 1c | 3,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FALKE Esports | 34c | 2,830$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.43 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed FALKE Esports | 3c | 1,250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed LUA Gaming | 58c | 1,241$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.71 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed LUA Gaming | 66c | 1,136$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.36 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked FALKE Esports | 15c | 1,049$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed FALKE Esports | 15c | 1,012$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked LUA Gaming | 65c | 999.05$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.45 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked FALKE Esports | 14c | 969.93$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.79 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…6674backed LUA Gaming | 80c | 877.06$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +21.1wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed LUA Gaming | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 487 | 63.2%308 W · 179 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FALKE Esports | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked LUA Gaming | 64c | 419.27$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed FALKE Esports | 15c | 409.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FALKE Esports | 32c | 407.04$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed FALKE Esports | 34c | 373.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed LUA Gaming | 64c | 362.39$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed FALKE Esports | 19c | 354.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed LUA Gaming | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…9168backed FALKE Esports | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked LUA Gaming | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked FALKE Esports | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked FALKE Esports | 6c | 299.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked LUA Gaming | 64c | 258.6$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked LUA Gaming | 75c | 257.11$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked FALKE Esports | 40c | 255.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed LUA Gaming | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed LUA Gaming | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LUA Gaming | 66c | 203.79$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed LUA Gaming | 57c | 200.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.33 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LUA Gaming | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed FALKE Esports | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed FALKE Esports | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed LUA Gaming | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed FALKE Esports | 25c | 189$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LUA Gaming | 79c | 174.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed FALKE Esports | 43c | 173.1$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed FALKE Esports | 43c | 170.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2a…6ce3backed FALKE Esports | 14c | 169.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed LUA Gaming | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed LUA Gaming | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked FALKE Esports | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed LUA Gaming | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed LUA Gaming | 57c | 126.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked LUA Gaming | 56c | 108.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed LUA Gaming | 73c | 107$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 342 | 37.7%129 W · 213 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked FALKE Esports | 13c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed LUA Gaming | 80c | 104$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed LUA Gaming | 65c | 102.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 448 | 51.8%232 W · 216 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FALKE Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed FALKE Esports | 37c | 95.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed FALKE Esports | 36c | 90.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed FALKE Esports | 35c | 88.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed LUA Gaming | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FALKE Esports | 36c | 86.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FALKE Esports | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed FALKE Esports | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked LUA Gaming | 57c | 69.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked FALKE Esports | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FALKE Esports | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed FALKE Esports | 44c | 42.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked FALKE Esports | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed LUA Gaming | 65c | 39.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked FALKE Esports | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…58d5backed LUA Gaming | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LUA (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)FALKE Esports won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonLUA Gaming won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs FALKE Esports - Game 2 WinnerFALKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.