TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Phoenix: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harris

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Billy Harrisof Aleksandar Vukic, Billy Harris
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,040 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Aleksandar Vukic28c12,244$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465.372,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Billy Harris68c11,400$7,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.9280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Aleksandar Vukic34c2,911$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.3620155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Aleksandar Vukic63c2,060$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.1120847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Billy Harris55c1,405$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.998,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Billy Harris37c1,297$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.874949%24 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Billy Harris66c1,013$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.512,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Aleksandar Vukic61c893.98$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.5911158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Billy Harris37c820$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.043,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Billy Harris36c797.96$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.271,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Billy Harris34c744.78$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.1637230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Billy Harris66c685.15$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Aleksandar Vukic33c634.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.558248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Billy Harris37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5433055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Billy Harris33c511.53$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.811,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Aleksandar Vukic68c342$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5635344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdcb…36c9backed Billy Harris54c340$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1578530.6%26 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Aleksandar Vukic6c332.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Aleksandar Vukic65c305.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5326254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Billy Harris31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20715848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Aleksandar Vukic67c297.6$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.771,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…6af2backed Billy Harris35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7112835.2%45 W · 83 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Aleksandar Vukic48c266.24$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.722,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Aleksandar Vukic61c263.76$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Aleksandar Vukic67c252.67$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2938048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Aleksandar Vukic40c249.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.771,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Billy Harris54c242.59$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5969350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Billy Harris48c237.61$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1938147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e03…ecbdbacked Billy Harris31c232.26$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.26977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+44.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Billy Harris37c231.73$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0532842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…fba6backed Billy Harris37c196.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.671637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Aleksandar Vukic52c176.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.782,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Billy Harris32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2566452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Aleksandar Vukic64c156.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Aleksandar Vukic69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10084963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Billy Harris59c136.76$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.29,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Aleksandar Vukic57c104.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Aleksandar Vukic49c102.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.534,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Billy Harris40c101.24$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6630853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Aleksandar Vukic64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6477967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Aleksandar Vukic67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6724547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Billy Harris52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4830844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Billy Harris50c98.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.946,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Aleksandar Vukic64c98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7259954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Billy Harris32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7581933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Aleksandar Vukic30c89.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.13,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Aleksandar Vukic40c86.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.53,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Aleksandar Vukic25c63.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.116,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Billy Harris51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.458048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Aleksandar Vukic68c58.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4039872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Aleksandar Vukic64c58.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.148361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Aleksandar Vukic64c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.24763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Aleksandar Vukic69c54.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3573350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Billy Harris60c52.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.024,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Aleksandar Vukic69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.535559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Billy Harris35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Billy Harris68c47.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0717552.6%92 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddac…71cebacked Aleksandar Vukic43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Aleksandar Vukic31c43.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Aleksandar Vukic64c43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.327,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Billy Harris32c42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.645032%16 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Billy Harris34c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Aleksandar Vukic41c39.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3161953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Aleksandar Vukic47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.093,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Aleksandar Vukic47c33.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7512245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Billy Harris45c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6873745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Aleksandar Vukic64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Billy Harris36c31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8496844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a5…7759backed Billy Harris43c30.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.441464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Billy Harris40c28.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.251,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Aleksandar Vukic70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Aleksandar Vukic60c27.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2543042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Billy Harris66c27.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.197444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Aleksandar Vukic41c24.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0138460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8ea…2aacbacked Aleksandar Vukic65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157261.1%44 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Aleksandar Vukic64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.859366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c29…fb0bbacked Aleksandar Vukic58c17.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.311118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-71.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d65…2d2bbacked Billy Harris66c17.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b36…9f34backed Aleksandar Vukic64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013151.1%67 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf526…6589backed Aleksandar Vukic64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.