TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Pelicans, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x649f…993ebacked Pelicans11c10,060$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.037354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Pelicans12c9,647$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.626622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Pelicans12c7,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8409130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Pelicans10c6,178$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.658439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Pelicans10c6,011$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.3310334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Pelicans4c5,301$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9923835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans4c4,424$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.441,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans10c4,420$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.2972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Pelicans12c4,377$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.2910244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…e00ebacked Pelicans1c4,292$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Pelicans3c4,089$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9822832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Pelicans11c3,500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.994348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Pelicans9c2,700$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.997536%27 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Pelicans1c2,551$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.094573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pelicans4c2,498$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5917244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans3c1,911$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans3c1,788$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.311,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pelicans12c1,746$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd7…547dbacked Pelicans11c1,676$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.996,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8163…e061backed Pelicans10c1,350$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Pelicans11c1,314$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.541650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans9c1,250$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.321,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3be0…9836backed Pelicans12c1,156$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans12c1,013$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Pelicans10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pelicans11c999.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa669…9ba8backed Pelicans12c941.67$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Pelicans4c899.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.614542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans9c861.5$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36ed…6950backed Pelicans12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0626…2574backed Pelicans12c818$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.161225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe652…1f64backed Pelicans12c750$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfee3…58b2backed Pelicans5c669.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.451942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Pelicans11c659.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.62733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x684e…2f63backed Pelicans12c633.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6aa…d2f5backed Pelicans12c610.2$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.222119%4 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Pelicans10c524$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.716443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2712…0f61backed Pelicans11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Pelicans11c458$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3818316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a66…b665backed Pelicans11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d13…58aabacked Pelicans13c440$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Pelicans7c416.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2348741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c3…9760backed Pelicans12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484124.4%10 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Pelicans7c361$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.271942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Pelicans10c360$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3650047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d48…b7a8backed Pelicans11c357.55$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Pelicans10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…2da4backed Pelicans13c296.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Pelicans11c268.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3bc…8c15backed Pelicans11c238.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.221758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…c5b2backed Pelicans12c233.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284030%12 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ccd…0953backed Pelicans11c232$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.521353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43c2…8697backed Pelicans11c226.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa165…6f85backed Pelicans12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Pelicans5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b0…dd7abacked Pelicans9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Pelicans11c199.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ceb…0c87backed Pelicans10c196.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207251.4%37 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans10c194.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba0…c163backed Pelicans11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7220…a3a1backed Pelicans8c178.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Pelicans6c177.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…e85ebacked Pelicans12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205135.3%18 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c1d…bfb2backed Pelicans13c160.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.861553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3a…0898backed Pelicans11c154.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.951952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+125.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Pelicans9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.524549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca09…74e7backed Pelicans11c147.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.191450%7 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d4a…1678backed Pelicans11c145.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7935…2914backed Pelicans12c144.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.321040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1738…41a1backed Pelicans11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x219f…e94ebacked Pelicans12c133.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.027040%28 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66db…7afbbacked Pelicans11c125$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14387.9%3 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5bb…a45abacked Pelicans12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa428…1a4cbacked Pelicans12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf27a…1d05backed Pelicans10c124.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d31…f226backed Pelicans12c124.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d97…8e02backed Pelicans11c118.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4fe…260bbacked Pelicans12c113.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a9e…a62abacked Pelicans11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick50cpaid+67.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8ada…eb2ebacked Pelicans12c108.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf364…ed8ebacked Pelicans12c100.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Pelicans11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130243.7%132 W · 170 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Pelicans11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1177437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…14b8backed Pelicans12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Pelicans12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1227642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x872b…a82ebacked Pelicans12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49fd…d190backed Pelicans12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124030%12 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x468a…e786backed Pelicans11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a2…1baebacked Pelicans12c99.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8398…30efbacked Pelicans11c98.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe518…8eadbacked Pelicans12c93.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.