MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8935fa7cdb68232919898217e702847f0924c6cf171624e373113ed986132a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 50c | 4,033$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.33 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Over | 49c | 4,032$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.46 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 4,014$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.98 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 3,253$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.76 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 2,885$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.34 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 2,252$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.95 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 51c | 1,692$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.83 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,371$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.21 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 1,044$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.36 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 51c | 721.24$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.86 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 600.2$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.56 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.83 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 46c | 488.6$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.77 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 50c | 482.06$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 51c | 381.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 311$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.09 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 287.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 78c | 253.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.33 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 242.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 218.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 49c | 211.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…650bbacked Over | 51c | 189.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…71f0backed Under | 49c | 156.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 51c | 140.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 47c | 136.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 22c | 125$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 50c | 106.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 89.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 48c | 87.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 81.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 51c | 74.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 49c | 69.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 63c | 59.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 50c | 53.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 50.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 49c | 50.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 46c | 41.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Over | 63c | 36.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 40c | 30.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 66c | 28.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362d…0c58backed Under | 46c | 28.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 49c | 25.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Under | 51c | 25.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed Over | 64c | 23.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 71c | 23.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.