China Taiwan · resolved market
Trump bans China from buying US farmland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e53d8b6ce835c1c1fecd73f5042fb02e866fa99f1a3b8a91afc0d0f4ad17af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x046c…1f1dbacked Yes | 46c | 132,030$60,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,733.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…bb5ebacked No | 54c | 132,030$71,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,733.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…324dbacked No | 42c | 68,142$28,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,522.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…0795backed Yes | 58c | 68,142$39,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,522.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…03cfbacked Yes | 4c | 3,319$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…9b16backed Yes | 26c | 1,999$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,994$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 74c | 1,955$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 10c | 1,662$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 76c | 1,151$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,148$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 4c | 1,054$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 14c | 979$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed No | 42c | 899.92$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 7c | 895.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…afc8backed No | 65c | 883.41$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…b7e6backed Yes | 9c | 882.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 7c | 856.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 7c | 766$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 4c | 478$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 3c | 412$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 7c | 407.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 24c | 401.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 70c | 364.49$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 35c | 358.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…3652backed Yes | 4c | 304.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 26c | 300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked Yes | 24c | 298.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5771…fe1abacked Yes | 36c | 274.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dee…3ff1backed No | 47c | 230.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 54c | 207.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 28c | 200.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…4433backed Yes | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 195.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeef…e421backed Yes | 58c | 175.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 169.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 168.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 69c | 157.84$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…42c1backed No | 64c | 157.46$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…0884backed Yes | 57c | 156.02$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…9f94backed Yes | 36c | 153.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…a216backed No | 72c | 150.74$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…1c27backed No | 74c | 146.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…843abacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 48c | 133.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 9c | 119.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked No | 71c | 111.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…1ee7backed Yes | 58c | 106.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0557…f3a5backed Yes | 38c | 100.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1a2dbacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdf…8903backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 44c | 94.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467f…b1dbbacked No | 64c | 93.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…d144backed Yes | 50c | 91.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 63c | 90.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 52c | 86.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…a3aebacked Yes | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0487…d452backed Yes | 18c | 75.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 72c | 74.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869a…bb9cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f7…071cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…4836backed Yes | 58c | 65.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…932ebacked Yes | 54c | 64.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 20c | 58.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 31c | 55.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…09b5backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…2bf3backed Yes | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 45.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…f7fcbacked No | 45c | 44.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…950fbacked Yes | 34c | 43.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…b19dbacked No | 42c | 42.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…460abacked No | 68c | 42.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed No | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa9…8b03backed No | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…b700backed No | 50c | 40.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a63…2eb3backed No | 74c | 40.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 46c | 37.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…b452backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…f013backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a0…dbf0backed No | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9951…ce13backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…ca44backed Yes | 40c | 31.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…09ebbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fae…ce9fbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…24a7backed No | 64c | 29.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…157bbacked Yes | 68c | 29.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…4bdfbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…4d3ebacked Yes | 50c | 28.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…2da7backed Yes | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd62…2b7ebacked No | 80c | 22.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…6c92backed No | 47c | 21.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…5f95backed Yes | 50c | 21.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…5fcbbacked Yes | 50c | 21.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.