Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon State Beavers vs. San Diego Toreros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe972aa8534051d630ec52782fdf6098e09fdfddc696aeaa4d4e7d974960a6b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oregon State Beaversof Oregon State Beavers, San Diego Toreros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb160…9636backed San Diego Toreros | 1c | 2,561$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed San Diego Toreros | 50c | 1,150$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.93 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Toreros | 40c | 877.9$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.42 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego Toreros | 18c | 858.64$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.42 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Oregon State Beavers | 52c | 769.28$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.53 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Toreros | 29c | 544.87$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed San Diego Toreros | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked San Diego Toreros | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oregon State Beavers | 69c | 380.24$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.4 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Toreros | 57c | 275.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Toreros | 24c | 268.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oregon State Beavers | 46c | 260$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Oregon State Beavers | 41c | 258.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed San Diego Toreros | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Oregon State Beavers | 43c | 188.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked San Diego Toreros | 61c | 184.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Oregon State Beavers | 39c | 166.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oregon State Beavers | 46c | 150.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Toreros | 59c | 134$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed San Diego Toreros | 26c | 111.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e0f6backed San Diego Toreros | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oregon State Beavers | 23c | 93.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked San Diego Toreros | 13c | 91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oregon State Beavers | 66c | 86.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Oregon State Beavers | 38c | 85.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Toreros | 65c | 85.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked San Diego Toreros | 74c | 73.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Oregon State Beavers | 42c | 72.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed San Diego Toreros | 62c | 64.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Oregon State Beavers | 23c | 47.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed San Diego Toreros | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Oregon State Beavers | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Oregon State Beavers | 40c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed San Diego Toreros | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon State Beavers vs. San Diego Torerosthis page
- Spread: San Diego Toreros (-2.5)Oregon State Beavers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.