Mls · resolved market
FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea2a80d9b4bf566810b285d9c1064a16209abc434768158c8a13d8b5ac46c3bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 75c | 2,355$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.2 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 1,914$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.83 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 1,144$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.86 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,077$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 17c | 292.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 15c | 216.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 27c | 204.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 73c | 178$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 29c | 147$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 27c | 121$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 26c | 104.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 27c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 26c | 82.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 78c | 47.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 22c | 47.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 74c | 24.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: FC Cincinnati O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 5.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: San Jose Earthquakes O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.