Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea82a179aa758358de6f88965a496e3a9133c412c094e7211bd18acfc94add11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof PuckChamp, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PuckChamp | 34c | 10,000$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.97 | 1,202 | 42.8%514 W · 688 L | +38.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PuckChamp | 21c | 8,188$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.05 | 486 | 50.8%247 W · 239 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PuckChamp | 49c | 8,124$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.59 | 541 | 51.8%280 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Inner Circle | 47c | 5,197$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.73 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +19.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Inner Circle | 65c | 3,567$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.14 | 482 | 49.2%237 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Inner Circle | 64c | 2,901$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.28 | 1,207 | 59.3%716 W · 491 L | +64.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked PuckChamp | 45c | 2,677$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.61 | 371 | 60.4%224 W · 147 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…22acbacked PuckChamp | 41c | 2,421$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.12 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Inner Circle | 60c | 2,198$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.96 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Inner Circle | 55c | 2,177$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.8 | 360 | 37.5%135 W · 225 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed PuckChamp | 12c | 1,674$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 659 | 25.5%168 W · 491 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Inner Circle | 68c | 1,402$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.44 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -15.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed PuckChamp | 10c | 1,382$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9247…7789backed PuckChamp | 16c | 1,367$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle | 52c | 1,364$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.44 | 911 | 38.2%348 W · 563 L | -45.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Inner Circle | 72c | 1,345$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.19 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Inner Circle | 42c | 1,305$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.5 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…9536backed Inner Circle | 55c | 1,278$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed PuckChamp | 43c | 1,257$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.59 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 1,230$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.15 | 970 | 42.2%409 W · 561 L | -20.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PuckChamp | 14c | 1,202$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 585 | 48.5%284 W · 301 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…5f5abacked Inner Circle | 64c | 1,180$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PuckChamp | 49c | 1,067$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.92 | 515 | 48.9%252 W · 263 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle | 37c | 988.96$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.35 | 704 | 33.1%233 W · 471 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d16…22ecbacked Inner Circle | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PuckChamp | 34c | 832.61$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.41 | 1,250 | 44.4%555 W · 695 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle | 57c | 767.29$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.87 | 906 | 38.4%348 W · 558 L | -40.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked PuckChamp | 43c | 766.26$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.5 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked PuckChamp | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Inner Circle | 49c | 710.27$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.98 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Inner Circle | 57c | 652.95$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.47 | 304 | 56.6%172 W · 132 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…fc37backed Inner Circle | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…3e5cbacked PuckChamp | 66c | 643.23$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Inner Circle | 80c | 611.99$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 441 | 38.5%170 W · 271 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…af03backed Inner Circle | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Inner Circle | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…87e4backed Inner Circle | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6343backed PuckChamp | 22c | 599.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed PuckChamp | 33c | 570.55$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.28 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…3da9backed Inner Circle | 69c | 542.34$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.18 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed PuckChamp | 4c | 528.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed PuckChamp | 58c | 515.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 513.26$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 194 | 38.7%75 W · 119 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PuckChamp | 37c | 504.29$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.87 | 927 | 56.5%524 W · 403 L | +79.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed PuckChamp | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…e9b9backed Inner Circle | 55c | 464.38$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.97 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Inner Circle | 53c | 448.79$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.86 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Inner Circle | 49c | 403.71$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.76 | 444 | 38.7%172 W · 272 L | -43.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed PuckChamp | 44c | 393.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 238 | 62.2%148 W · 90 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked Inner Circle | 33c | 387.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked PuckChamp | 59c | 370.38$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.29 | 130 | 64.6%84 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Inner Circle | 45c | 350$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PuckChamp | 45c | 326.56$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.95 | 542 | 44.5%241 W · 301 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed PuckChamp | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 266 | 53.8%143 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5cc0backed PuckChamp | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…a98abacked PuckChamp | 49c | 296.6$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Inner Circle | 65c | 254.49$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 273 | 51.6%141 W · 132 L | +14.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed PuckChamp | 56c | 247.15$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 421 | 53.4%225 W · 196 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Inner Circle | 74c | 240$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…caa8backed PuckChamp | 35c | 236.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…c059backed PuckChamp | 24c | 230$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…8c87backed Inner Circle | 28c | 229.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Inner Circle | 29c | 226.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed PuckChamp | 40c | 222.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 219 | 47%103 W · 116 L | +16.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed Inner Circle | 53c | 219.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Inner Circle | 67c | 217.13$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…5f93backed Inner Circle | 45c | 212.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0350…a584backed PuckChamp | 14c | 208$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -80%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Inner Circle | 56c | 206.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…86bbbacked PuckChamp | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…c5fdbacked Inner Circle | 64c | 193$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed PuckChamp | 26c | 189.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked PuckChamp | 28c | 188$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed PuckChamp | 60c | 179.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…0d49backed PuckChamp | 40c | 175.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…8c59backed Inner Circle | 70c | 158.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed PuckChamp | 55c | 156.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d57…5999backed PuckChamp | 65c | 152.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…d298backed Inner Circle | 67c | 152.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7c…8b29backed Inner Circle | 66c | 141.77$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed PuckChamp | 22c | 139.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Inner Circle | 56c | 139$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 657 | 47.8%314 W · 343 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Inner Circle | 55c | 130$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 545 | 38.5%210 W · 335 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Inner Circle | 67c | 129.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Inner Circle | 59c | 127$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Inner Circle | 51c | 117.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Inner Circle | 42c | 108$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…f754backed PuckChamp | 44c | 105.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle | 65c | 104.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…f280backed Inner Circle | 49c | 102.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle | 73c | 101.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 1,126 | 36.2%408 W · 718 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Inner Circle | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 342 | 54.4%186 W · 156 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed PuckChamp | 29c | 101.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Inner Circle | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Inner Circle | 75c | 93.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Inner Circle | 68c | 92.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed PuckChamp | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 212 | 20.3%43 W · 169 L | -19.9wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Inner Circle | 68c | 84.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 559 | 62.1%347 W · 212 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Inner Circle | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed PuckChamp | 27c | 78.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 195 | 40.5%79 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group AInner Circle won
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.