Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe514e35ce42ffa349a0433c352a659568c6949aa78ce21768110a86bb6383116
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof PuckChamp, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 1,423$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.85 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked PuckChamp | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked PuckChamp | 40c | 407.64$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.96 | 676 | 48.4%327 W · 349 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PuckChamp | 26c | 259.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 394 | 41.1%162 W · 232 L | -18.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…86babacked Inner Circle | 73c | 246.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked PuckChamp | 27c | 226.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed PuckChamp | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…358fbacked PuckChamp | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Inner Circle | 60c | 196$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PuckChamp | 17c | 162.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 1,270 | 49.6%630 W · 640 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Inner Circle | 66c | 149.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 707 | 52.5%371 W · 336 L | +48.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Inner Circle | 68c | 142.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…04b4backed Inner Circle | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp | 22c | 126.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,723 | 41.3%711 W · 1,012 L | -43.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PuckChamp | 32c | 118.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed PuckChamp | 31c | 113.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 782 | 41.2%322 W · 460 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked PuckChamp | 27c | 108.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1,482 | 48.9%724 W · 758 L | +32.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed PuckChamp | 35c | 106.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 519 | 50.7%263 W · 256 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked PuckChamp | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked PuckChamp | 28c | 92.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 243 | 36.6%89 W · 154 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Inner Circle | 74c | 83.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 833 | 45.1%376 W · 457 L | -28.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed PuckChamp | 14c | 79.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed PuckChamp | 18c | 79.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked PuckChamp | 34c | 78.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed PuckChamp | 32c | 73.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked PuckChamp | 30c | 73.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…6838backed Inner Circle | 67c | 73.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked PuckChamp | 37c | 67.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PuckChamp | 16c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 657 | 47.8%314 W · 343 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked PuckChamp | 40c | 50.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 60.8%217 W · 140 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PuckChamp | 32c | 50.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 538 | 51.3%276 W · 262 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed PuckChamp | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed PuckChamp | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Inner Circle | 66c | 46.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bf…66e0backed Inner Circle | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…cfcbbacked Inner Circle | 69c | 43.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked PuckChamp | 32c | 39.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 38.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 319 | 50.8%162 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd659…393ebacked Inner Circle | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Inner Circle | 66c | 24.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…8d69backed Inner Circle | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Inner Circle | 79c | 19.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
- Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.